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2026-03-16

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Alpha Engine — Daily Report (2026-03-16)

RunId: 931d1927fcfa Scratchpads (6):

  • .scratchpad/2026-03-17T00-13-01-622Z_cbc7d6684ba5.jsonl
  • .scratchpad/2026-03-17T00-16-40-811Z_06ca7d4ebe46.jsonl
  • .scratchpad/2026-03-17T01-34-16-483Z_0119477ac7df.jsonl
  • .scratchpad/2026-03-17T01-52-05-200Z_334df442a955.jsonl
  • .scratchpad/2026-03-17T02-15-05-812Z_9506c2943116.jsonl
  • .scratchpad/2026-03-17T03-49-18-450Z_931d1927fcfa.jsonl

1) P&L + risk

  • Start cash (paper): $1000.00
  • End cash (paper, computed): $978.29
  • Realized PnL: $8.29 (0.83%)
  • Open exposure: $30.00 / $120.00 cap
  • Open positions (today ledger): 3
  • State now: cash $963.77, positions 3, exposureCounter $30.00

2) Trades list (proof)

  • 0119477ac7df:0x199a:1773711259674 · (unknown) · 0x199a291558f28ad37148721bfb19d67c67dfdba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T01:34:19.674Z @ $2.07e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T02:15:06.618Z @ $2.07e-7 · PnL $0.00 · time_30m
  • 0119477ac7df:0x6e4c:1773711259674 · (unknown) · 0x6e4cf3ddff8ff205668acc4be78f9e8864f02ba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T01:34:19.675Z @ $2.08e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T02:15:06.885Z @ $2.07e-7 · PnL $-0.04 · time_30m
  • 0119477ac7df:0x8294:1773711259263 · (unknown) · 0x829444eb79103363a9f9e517277d72b9a9b87ba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T01:34:19.263Z @ $0.00000175
    • exit 2026-03-17T01:52:05.851Z @ $0.00000431 · PnL $14.65 · take_profit_25%
  • 0119477ac7df:0x8d4b:1773711259675 · (unknown) · 0x8d4b41f7afedd9ad220d7ea14841def27ba1dba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T01:34:19.675Z @ $2.02e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T02:15:07.190Z @ $2.02e-7 · PnL $0.00 · time_30m
  • 0119477ac7df:0x9493:1773711259674 · (unknown) · 0x94930e35337a14fdda2315a552982abd685a6ba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T01:34:19.674Z @ $2.37e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T02:15:06.770Z @ $2.38e-7 · PnL $0.03 · time_30m
  • 0119477ac7df:0xa8f2:1773711259550 · (unknown) · 0xa8f2db3c2b3a37b5d8ab5df987c525e2b8fcaba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T01:34:19.550Z @ $2.94e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T02:15:06.577Z @ $2.46e-7 · PnL $-1.66 · stop_loss_15%
  • 0119477ac7df:0xba9e:1773711259381 · (unknown) · 0xba9e9fdca4757847ed672dce00a2090b9c58fba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T01:34:19.381Z @ $2.07e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T02:15:06.525Z @ $2.06e-7 · PnL $-0.02 · time_30m
  • 0119477ac7df:0xd163:1773711259675 · (unknown) · 0xd16322058e54088a9d58237f413e9737cb2dcba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T01:34:19.675Z @ $2.12e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T02:15:06.988Z @ $2.12e-7 · PnL $0.00 · time_30m
  • 0119477ac7df:0xf699:1773711259675 · (unknown) · 0xf699a92550e04855ce37dd4372c5d666d5284ba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T01:34:19.675Z @ $2.03e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T02:15:07.087Z @ $2.03e-7 · PnL $0.00 · time_30m
  • 06ca7d4ebe46:0xd068:1773706603229 · (unknown) · 0xd0689bb5bd3005918fe5992cf69c6412c758aba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T00:16:43.229Z @ $5.54e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T01:34:18.298Z @ $4.14e-7 · PnL $-2.52 · stop_loss_15%
  • 334df442a955:0x8294:1773712327410 · (unknown) · 0x829444eb79103363a9f9e517277d72b9a9b87ba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T01:52:07.410Z @ $0.00000431
    • exit 2026-03-17T03:49:19.206Z @ $0.00000431 · PnL $0.00 · time_30m
  • 931d1927fcfa:0x8294:1773719360731 · (unknown) · 0x829444eb79103363a9f9e517277d72b9a9b87ba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T03:49:20.731Z @ $0.00000431
    • exit OPEN
  • 931d1927fcfa:0xd90d:1773719360731 · (unknown) · 0xd90ddba096f745c74ae478b8b015d6fde22dcba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T03:49:20.731Z @ $2.73e-7
    • exit OPEN
  • 931d1927fcfa:0xee19:1773719360730 · (unknown) · 0xee196130a54a2f6256838c1c9c7a9c66b8472ba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T03:49:20.731Z @ $0.00000113
    • exit OPEN
  • 9506c2943116:0xd90d:1773713708254 · (unknown) · 0xd90ddba096f745c74ae478b8b015d6fde22dcba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T02:15:08.254Z @ $3.32e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T03:49:19.585Z @ $2.73e-7 · PnL $-1.77 · stop_loss_15%
  • 9506c2943116:0xee19:1773713708254 · (unknown) · 0xee196130a54a2f6256838c1c9c7a9c66b8472ba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T02:15:08.254Z @ $9.55e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T03:49:19.336Z @ $0.00000113 · PnL $1.78 · time_30m
  • cbc7d6684ba5:0x30f5:1773706384878 · (unknown) · 0x30f56869be006668ebde57fe834c61cdd9e9fba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T00:13:04.878Z @ $2.68e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T01:34:18.111Z @ $2.63e-7 · PnL $-0.20 · time_30m
  • cbc7d6684ba5:0x6e4c:1773706383871 · (unknown) · 0x6e4cf3ddff8ff205668acc4be78f9e8864f02ba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T00:13:03.871Z @ $2.33e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T01:34:17.276Z @ $2.08e-7 · PnL $-1.05 · time_30m
  • cbc7d6684ba5:0x8d4b:1773706384315 · (unknown) · 0x8d4b41f7afedd9ad220d7ea14841def27ba1dba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T00:13:04.315Z @ $2.02e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T01:34:17.628Z @ $2.02e-7 · PnL $0.00 · time_30m
  • cbc7d6684ba5:0x8e7a:1773706384804 · (unknown) · 0x8e7af8755046bb38c8a3c8c3909fb51a3da91b07
    • entry 2026-03-17T00:13:04.804Z @ $4.84e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T01:34:18.014Z @ $4.46e-7 · PnL $-0.78 · time_30m
  • cbc7d6684ba5:0x9493:1773706383700 · (unknown) · 0x94930e35337a14fdda2315a552982abd685a6ba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T00:13:03.700Z @ $2.39e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T01:34:17.167Z @ $2.37e-7 · PnL $-0.08 · time_30m
  • cbc7d6684ba5:0xaaf7:1773706384686 · (unknown) · 0xaaf716afc05cc3cbf766c06e2f145cec9cb1bba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T00:13:04.686Z @ $2.05e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T01:34:17.886Z @ $2.03e-7 · PnL $-0.07 · time_30m
  • cbc7d6684ba5:0xc8e2:1773706384535 · (unknown) · 0xc8e28957e83f39dff319cf8262d70cd4cf627ba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T00:13:04.535Z @ $2.03e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T01:34:17.750Z @ $2.03e-7 · PnL $0.02 · time_30m
  • cbc7d6684ba5:0xd163:1773706384030 · (unknown) · 0xd16322058e54088a9d58237f413e9737cb2dcba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T00:13:04.030Z @ $2.12e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T01:34:17.380Z @ $2.12e-7 · PnL $0.00 · time_30m
  • cbc7d6684ba5:0xf699:1773706384164 · (unknown) · 0xf699a92550e04855ce37dd4372c5d666d5284ba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T00:13:04.164Z @ $2.03e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T01:34:17.513Z @ $2.03e-7 · PnL $0.00 · time_30m
  • cbc7d6684ba5:0xfbca:1773706385058 · (unknown) · 0xfbca04b825befb500ebf29bac24d1db034335ba3
    • entry 2026-03-17T00:13:05.058Z @ $2.04e-7
    • exit 2026-03-17T01:34:18.229Z @ $2.05e-7 · PnL $0.01 · time_30m

3) What worked vs didn’t (measured)

  • Trades closed: 23 · Win rate: 21.7%
  • Avg win: $3.30 · Avg loss: $-0.82
  • Biggest winner: 0119477ac7df:0x8294:1773711259263 ($14.65)
  • Biggest loser: 06ca7d4ebe46:0xd068:1773706603229 ($-2.52)

4) Learning log

  • Change today: fixed Pulse chain id parsing + token address selection; added paper-trading skip diagnostics; added price sanity + major-token denylist + min liquidity filter; fixed tsx runner flag for Node >=20.6.
  • Evidence: see paper_diag in scratchpads; it reports why entries were skipped (no price, caps, etc.).
  • Next hypothesis: if skipped_major dominates, we need better filtering to target non-major tokens; if skipped_liquidity dominates, tune minLiquidityUsd; if skipped_no_price dominates, add pricing fallbacks.

Diagnostics (latest paper_diag)

RunId: 931d1927fcfa

{
  "pulse_txs": 25,
  "skipped_no_addr": 0,
  "skipped_not_base": 0,
  "skipped_already_held": 0,
  "skipped_daily_loss_cap": 0,
  "skipped_exposure_cap": 0,
  "skipped_cash_cap": 0,
  "skipped_no_price": 0,
  "skipped_price_sanity": 0,
  "skipped_liquidity": 1,
  "skipped_activity": 0,
  "skipped_confirmation2": 1,
  "skipped_major": 0,
  "entries": 3
}

5) Next 24h plan

  1. Add pricing fallback for common Base tokens + better Dexscreener pair selection (expected: fewer skipped_no_price). Guardrail: keep $/trade + exposure caps unchanged.
  2. Enforce maxPositions consistently (expected: prevent over-entry). Guardrail: maxPositions from config.
  3. If still zero entries, log first 5 candidate token addresses + chains for manual inspection.