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2026-03-19

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Alpha Engine — Daily Report (2026-03-19)

RunId: 498df2fc0e7f Scratchpads (4):

  • .scratchpad/2026-03-19T23-30-41-025Z_60efd05c226d.jsonl
  • .scratchpad/2026-03-19T23-32-25-851Z_3d15269f6f87.jsonl
  • .scratchpad/2026-03-20T01-57-09-428Z_2ddc63560069.jsonl
  • .scratchpad/2026-03-20T02-04-32-562Z_498df2fc0e7f.jsonl

1) P&L + risk

  • Start cash (paper): $943.93
  • End cash (paper, computed): $927.04
  • Realized PnL: $3.11 (0.33%)
  • Open exposure: $20.00 / $120.00 cap
  • Open positions (today ledger): 2
  • State now: cash $937.04, positions 2, exposureCounter $20.00

2) Trades list (proof)

  • 2ddc63560069:0xe432:1773971832543 · (unknown) · 0xe432e4b79830fa534914b9e7767f904346b7bba3
    • entry 2026-03-20T01:57:12.544Z @ $5.99e-7
    • exit OPEN
  • 2ddc63560069:0xea64:1773971832543 · (unknown) · 0xea644f7d935ced4915674f28fc2fe7380a663ba3
    • entry 2026-03-20T01:57:12.543Z @ $8.60e-7
    • exit OPEN
  • 3d15269f6f87:0x5728:1773963148218 · (unknown) · 0x5728c7690c602161712c9f0c99996cb7d02c3ba3
    • entry 2026-03-19T23:32:28.218Z @ $0.00000123
    • exit 2026-03-20T01:57:10.934Z @ $0.00000117 · PnL $-0.49 · time_30m
  • 3d15269f6f87:0xd67a:1773963148219 · (unknown) · 0xd67a9266d0ae84839f62197713b2d2a9f3a62ba3
    • entry 2026-03-19T23:32:28.219Z @ $5.03e-7
    • exit 2026-03-20T01:57:11.068Z @ $7.09e-7 · PnL $4.11 · take_profit_25%
  • d1131585bb33:0xae58:1773881729637 · (unknown) · 0xae58ebfbe35d4f4a320dfb550fe4d27c0d2a7ba3
    • entry 2026-03-19T00:55:29.637Z @ $0.00000315
    • exit 2026-03-19T23:30:42.759Z @ $0.00000299 · PnL $-0.51 · time_30m

3) What worked vs didn’t (measured)

  • Trades closed: 3 · Win rate: 33.3%
  • Avg win: $4.11 · Avg loss: $-0.50
  • Biggest winner: 3d15269f6f87:0xd67a:1773963148219 ($4.11)
  • Biggest loser: d1131585bb33:0xae58:1773881729637 ($-0.51)

4) Learning log

  • Change today: fixed Pulse chain id parsing + token address selection; added paper-trading skip diagnostics; added price sanity + major-token denylist + min liquidity filter; fixed tsx runner flag for Node >=20.6.
  • Evidence: see paper_diag in scratchpads; it reports why entries were skipped (no price, caps, etc.).
  • Next hypothesis: if skipped_major dominates, we need better filtering to target non-major tokens; if skipped_liquidity dominates, tune minLiquidityUsd; if skipped_no_price dominates, add pricing fallbacks.

Diagnostics (latest paper_diag)

RunId: 498df2fc0e7f

{
  "pulse_txs": 25,
  "skipped_no_addr": 0,
  "skipped_not_base": 0,
  "skipped_already_held": 15,
  "skipped_daily_loss_cap": 0,
  "skipped_exposure_cap": 0,
  "skipped_cash_cap": 0,
  "skipped_no_price": 0,
  "skipped_price_sanity": 0,
  "skipped_liquidity": 0,
  "skipped_activity": 0,
  "skipped_confirmation2": 10,
  "skipped_macro_riskoff": 0,
  "skipped_major": 0,
  "entries": 0
}

5) Next 24h plan

  1. Add pricing fallback for common Base tokens + better Dexscreener pair selection (expected: fewer skipped_no_price). Guardrail: keep $/trade + exposure caps unchanged.
  2. Enforce maxPositions consistently (expected: prevent over-entry). Guardrail: maxPositions from config.
  3. If still zero entries, log first 5 candidate token addresses + chains for manual inspection.